In the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, Donald Trump, a Republican and former president, is poised to win a second term after a strong performance. He successfully defeated Democrat and current Vice President Kamala Harris in a hard-fought race. If his victory is confirmed, it will mark several historical achievements: at 78, he would be among the oldest presidents, the first Republican in two decades to win the popular vote, and only the second president in over a century to serve non-consecutive terms. Trump’s win relied on capturing swing states and slightly increasing Republican support across most states, securing both the Electoral College and the popular vote.
While Democrats held their ground in coastal states, Republicans saw a significant shift in their favour, taking control of the Senate with key victories in Ohio and West Virginia and likely retaining the House. This “trifecta” of control across the executive and legislative branches could give Trump considerable power to drive his policies forward.
The election outcome reflects widespread frustration among voters. Many felt that Harris and the current Democratic administration didn’t do enough to lower everyday prices, even though they made strides in other areas of the economy. Trump, on the other hand, emphasized issues like immigration, claiming that immigrants were taking American jobs—an argument that resonated with many working-class voters.
Despite facing multiple criminal charges related to his actions after the 2020 election, Trump’s supporters seemed willing to overlook these issues, or even view them as part of his defiance against the political establishment. If he returns to office, Trump may use his position to protect himself and his allies from legal consequences and even act against media critics, raising questions about political freedoms.
Trump’s second term could also have significant international consequences. Economically, he may reintroduce high tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports and potentially on all imports, risking new global trade tensions. His foreign policy might involve a hands-off approach in conflicts like those in Ukraine and Gaza, which could embolden leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel. India, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, might also feel free to pursue nationalist policies, anticipating less pressure from the U.S. on human rights.
In the long term, while Trump’s victory energizes his “MAGA” movement, the values of democracy and liberalism may regain strength when his term ends in 2028, and there may be a reckoning with the impact of his leadership on the country’s political norms and global standing.
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